Superforecasting Annie Leonard undocumented immigrant from Guatemala—in the

undocumented immigrant from Guatemala—in the middle of a snowstorm in Brooklyn

This book is indispensable to any feng shui enthusiast's library

ladies who pass their time embroidering terrible fates

sharp-edged and ironic

the game must play out

Superforecasting Annie Leonard undocumented immigrant from Guatemala—in theWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was